slithytoves123: (Default)
2022-05-04 12:48 am
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A Horoscope for the Supreme Court Draft Leak

As I wrote in a comment on Ecosophia,

At 8:32 PM EDT, Politico, headquartered in Arlington, VA, published an exclusive on what purports to be a leaked draft of a Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe v. Wade and Casey v. Planned Parenthood. While most people are treating this as genuine, there are some irregularities about it, including the fact that it’s in Alito’s name when it should have been in Clarence Thomas’s.

It seems to me that astrology should be applicable to ascertaining the veracity of the document and its likely impact, and I’m looking for advice on how to go about doing that. I’m assuming that casting the chart for the time of the report’s publication, at either Arlington, VA as the headquarters of the publisher or Washington, D.C. as the capital of the country and location of the Supreme Court (which, the two are close enough together it likely won’t make a difference).
We've since learned that the document is authentic, although not the final decision. I cast a horoscope for the time using the Celeste program for iPhone (hence the terrible quality; sorry):



You can't see it very well, but the 4th house cusp is just barely still in Aquarius, while the 10th house cup is just barely still in Leo.

I offered a tentative partial dilineation in a comment, but I've since learned that some of my reading was wrong. The following is a brief attempt to correct those mistakes. Bear in mind that I am not talented in astrology at all, and am doing this for my own amusement/benefit. I'm probably wrong about a lot of this.

First off, we see that the ascendant is in Scorpio, so the chart is ruled by Mars and co-ruled by Pluto. (I subscribe to the view that Pluto's influence is fading, but not yet gone.)

Mars connects the issue with conflict, and also masculine energy, arguably appropriate to a culture war issue that has been strongly connected gendered in the public imagination (though much less so in actual fact). Mars makes a sextile with the Sun and Uranus, and squares the Moon. It's strengthened by its position in the angular 4th house, which also connects it to "The people as contrasted with the monarch; the democracy as contrasted with the aristocracy; the opposition in Parliament." (Source) All quite appropriate to a draft opinion for a decision opposed by the president, the party in power, and the cultural elites, supported by the party out of power, and that will return abortion to the province of legislation by democratically-elected officials. (As Glenn Greenwald eloquently points out,, Roe is inherently anti-democratic, as are all Constitutional rights.)

Pluto connects the issue with terrorism and upheavals, which are both genuine risks in this situation. However, Pluto has several benefic aspects and is in a cadent house, which if I understand correctly should temper its effect here, along with its general fading significance. Pluto is in the 3rd house of communication, which suggests the opposition to the ruling will use their words more than their deeds, in the media, one social media, and chanting at protests, all of which we've already seen.

The most heavily aspected planet is Jupiter, which represents the courts in mundane astrology. Like Mars, it is in the 4th house, pitting the court against the elite. However, it sextiles the Moon, which represents the politically-active class and rules the 9th house of legal matters, as well as Mercury, which represents "younger people and teachers" (source), both of which are decidedly liberal on the issue of abortion. Additionally, it is conjunct Venus, representing "arts, entertainment, younger women," which are similarly aligned. However, these aspects are out-of-sign while Jupiter's sextile to Pluto is almost exact, connecting it back to the issue itself. But then, Jupiter also conjuncts Neptune, which represents left-wing ideas.

I'm honestly not really sure what to make of the Sun-Uranus conjunction.

Overall, the chart does not seem favorable to the overturning of Roe. I suspect one of the justices — most likely Kavanaugh — will change his mind on the issue. I'm less confident than I was initially that this will be beneficial to the Democrats, though there is a distinct possibility that it will demoralize Republicans.

Reminder: I have no idea what I'm doing and you shouldn't listen to me.
slithytoves123: (Default)
2022-03-16 06:20 pm

The Arrangement Economy

In the comments of this week's Ecosophia post I brought up the point that, going forward, it'll be necessary to uncouple economic utility -- that is, goods and services -- from money by demonetizing as much of the economy as possible. Economists tell nice just-so stories about the evolution of money, about how it solved a problem with barter economics where Alice wants to trade cows for pigs, Bob wants to trade pigs for sheep, and so both need to find a third person to who'll trade sheep for cows.

Of course, there are other alternative forms of economics beyond barter, but the only two that really get any airtime at all are gift economies or the favor economy. The former is sometimes said (anyway, I've seen someone say this) to be the economy of a household -- although this isn't actually true, as we'll see in a second -- and you probably know the latter from the sort of TV shows and movies where the characters say things like "I'll owe you one," and "This makes us even." Sometimes you also hear about subsistence economics, which is depending entirely on your own efforts to survive.

In fact, there's at least one other form of non-monetary economy, although I don't think I've ever seen it singled out this way. To understand it, we need to put the different forms of economies in their proper contexts: to oversimplify, barter (and monetary economies, which is just a special case of barter) is for dealing with people you don't know or necessarily trust very well, gift economies are for jockeying for status, favor economies are for dealing with people you can trust to honor their obligations but who aren't otherwise bound to you by any obligations, and subsistence economics is for when you're Robinson Crusoe, alone on a deserted island.

You might notice that this leaves out the sort of economy you use with people with whom you have reciprocal obligations, such as feudal covenant or family ties -- and yes, I'm saying that feudalism and household those are two special cases of the same basic economic system. I call this system the "arrangement economy," as it occurs when two or more parties enter into an arrangement in which they promise to provide each other certain goods or services under certain conditions. This can be as explicit and detailed as the feudal covenant made by Higg son of Snell, or as implicit and open-ended as a marriage vow or an understanding between friends that you have each other's backs.

This is also the economy at the foundation of the lodge system: when a lodge member or someone in their family is in need, you help them. Not for status or on a whim, as with a gift economy, but because of the commitment you made to do so, and in the understanding that others will do the same if you or your need help. A good case can be made for reviving this sort of arrangement economy going forward.

But an arrangement economy can be more mundane still: a farmer and a lumberjack might have arrangement in which the farmer provides the lumberjack with chickens and vegetables and the lumberjack supplies the farmer with firewood. Again, this may be as formal as a chicken and five pounds of potatoes every week in exchange for a full cord of firewood, or it may be informal, with each offering what they feel a reasonable cut at reasonable intervals.